Bournemouth vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
Bournemouth
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Bournemouth
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Southampton
İNP
0-3
HT 0-2
Southampton
FAK
0-2
HT 0-1
Southampton
İNP
1-3
HT 0-2
Bournemouth
İNP
Bournemouth 3-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth saw off Southampton 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Bournemouth had 40% of the ball to Southampton's 60%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.37 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bournemouth and 1.50 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Southampton?
Bournemouth 3-1 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 51%, draw 24%, Southampton 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.