Fiorentina U20 3-1 Roma U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U20
3-1
AWAY Roma U20
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Roma U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 saw off Roma U20 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fiorentina U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina U20 had 42% of the ball to Roma U20's 58%, shots finished 14-17.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Roma U20?

Fiorentina U20 3-1 Roma U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Roma U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 33%, draw 27%, Roma U20 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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