Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Septemvri Sofia v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals
Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BULB
1-0
HT 0-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Spartak Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Varna squeezed past Septemvri Sofia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Varna as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 55% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 45%, shots finished 6-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.33 for Spartak Varna.
What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 28%, draw 25%, Spartak Varna 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Varna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.