Xinabajul 3-0 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 30 Sep 2024

Xinabajul
3-0 HT 1-0
Marquense
📅30/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2024/2025

Xinabajul vs Marquense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Xinabajul v Marquense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.50/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.49
-7% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul ran out comfortable winners over Marquense 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xinabajul as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Marquense?

Xinabajul 3-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 45%, draw 30%, Marquense 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xinabajul), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
30 Sep 2024
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