Ajax II 0-1 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Sep 2024

Ajax II
0-1 HT 0-1
Dordrecht
📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Ajax II vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.96
Over 2.5
49%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.32
No
47%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.32
2-3 Goals
41%
2.23
4-5 Goals
26%
2.44
6+ Goals
10%
4.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.97
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
11%
5.77
X/2
11%
6.71
X/X
16%
6.47
2/1
6%
21.0
2/2
17%
3.65
2/X
5%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
30%
+20.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
70%
-20.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
72%
-18.1pp
47%
BTTS No
28%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax II v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.44/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.64
+25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
11.5 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ajax II vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dordrecht
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.82 xG 2.07
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
484 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.01.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 2-2 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
20.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 3-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
03.04.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-1 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
04.11.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-4 HT 2-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
11.03.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 2-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
16.08.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 1-2 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2

Ajax II 0-1 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-1
AWAY Dordrecht
0.84 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
429 Passes 354
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht squeezed past Ajax II 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Dordrecht made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ajax II had 53% of the ball to Dordrecht's 47%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.84 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ajax II and 2.50 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Dordrecht?

Ajax II 0-1 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 36%, draw 28%, Dordrecht 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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