Viking Stavanger II 0-1 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.96
Over
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
16%
7.1
2-3
43%
2.2
4-5
30%
2.45
6+
11%
4.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking Stavanger II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.98/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.98
+42% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -32%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking Stavanger II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arendal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.06.2024 Arendal Arendal 2-1 HT 0-0 Viking Stavanger II Viking Stavanger II NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking Stavanger II
0-1
AWAY Arendal
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viking Stavanger II vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal edged past Viking Stavanger II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Viking Stavanger II at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viking Stavanger II had 64% of the ball to Arendal's 36%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Viking Stavanger II vs Arendal?

Viking Stavanger II 0-1 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking Stavanger II vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking Stavanger II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Viking Stavanger II 54%, draw 28%, Arendal 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viking Stavanger II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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