AVS 0-0 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

AVS
0-0 HT 0-0
Farense
📅30/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

AVS vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.87
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.5
X/2
12%
6.96
X/X
11%
4.34
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
10%
5.31
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AVS v Farense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.58
-29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
– Crosses 20.3
– Yellow Cards 2.3

AVS 0-0 Farense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
0-0
AWAY Farense
0.54 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
405 Passes 220
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AVS vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS and Farense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was AVS at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AVS had 61% of the ball to Farense's 39%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.54 to 0.47.

What was the final score of AVS vs Farense?

AVS 0-0 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated a AVS win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AVS 44%, draw 27%, Farense 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AVS), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AVS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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