Universitatea Craiova 3-0 Unirea Slobozia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 26% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
69%
-15.9pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Unirea Slobozia EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
2.52/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.74
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +81%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
408 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
18.4 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3-0
AWAY Unirea Slobozia
2.13 xG 0.57
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
449 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Unirea Slobozia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova ran out comfortable winners over Unirea Slobozia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 59% of the ball to Unirea Slobozia's 41%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.13 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Unirea Slobozia?

Universitatea Craiova 3-0 Unirea Slobozia in the Romania - 1st Division on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Unirea Slobozia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 53%, draw 25%, Unirea Slobozia 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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