Kayserispor 0-3 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.38
Over Pick
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
26%
5.06
2-3
41%
1.96
4-5
24%
2.74
6+
9%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
7.01
1/2
12%
20.25
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
13%
10.25
X/2
15%
4.18
X/X
15%
6.22
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.04
2/X
4%
14.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.25 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
50%
Away Win
56%
-6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 61%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.21/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.06
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 85%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
18.7 Crosses 20.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
311 Passes 315
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
24.09.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
22.01.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-2 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
06.08.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
01.05.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-3 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
02.03.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-2 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
0-3
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.52 xG 2.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
284 Passes 315
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş cruised past Kayserispor 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 48% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 52%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.52 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kayserispor and 1.50 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş?

Kayserispor 0-3 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 25%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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