Farense U23 2-3 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
57%
Away Win
54%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
2-3
AWAY Estoril U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 edged past Farense U23 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estoril U23 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Farense U23 had 51% of the ball to Estoril U23's 49%, shots finished 11-20.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Farense U23 2-3 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 23%, draw 20%, Estoril U23 57%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →