Lamia 1-2 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
3.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
22%
5.17
X/2
14%
5.6
X/X
18%
3.88
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
13%
4.19
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.22/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.38
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.1 Crosses 7.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Panserraikos
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.46 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
347 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
23.09.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
1-2
AWAY Panserraikos
0.48 xG 0.84
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
263 Passes 425
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos squeezed past Lamia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Panserraikos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lamia had 41% of the ball to Panserraikos's 59%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.48 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Panserraikos led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lamia and 2.00 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Panserraikos?

Lamia 1-2 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lamia 34%, draw 32%, Panserraikos 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panserraikos) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✗ Under 2.5
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