Exeter City U21 1-0 Brentford U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
17%
Draw
22%
-4.6pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.3pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford U21 EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Exeter City U21 vs Brentford U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City U21 nicked a narrow win over Brentford U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brentford U21 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Exeter City U21 vs Brentford U21?

Exeter City U21 1-0 Brentford U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City U21 vs Brentford U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brentford U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Exeter City U21 29%, draw 17%, Brentford U21 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brentford U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brentford U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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