Valencia 1-2 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
14%
3.98
X/2
9%
9.54
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
7%
8.53
2/X
4%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.43/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.21
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
23.8 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.04.2001 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
26.11.2000 Valencia Valencia 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
1-2
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.70 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
473 Passes 338
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo squeezed past Valencia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Valencia at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valencia had 57% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 43%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.70 to 0.77 — on chances, Valencia could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Valencia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valencia and 0.00 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Real Oviedo?

Valencia 1-2 Real Oviedo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Valencia 54%, draw 25%, Real Oviedo 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valencia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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