Ahal 1-4 Al Hussein — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 30 Sep 2025

Ahal
1-4 HT 1-4
Al Hussein
📅30/09/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Ahal vs Al Hussein Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ahal v Al Hussein — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahal EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hussein EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ahal 1-4 Al Hussein — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ahal
1-4
AWAY Al Hussein
1.35 xG 2.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
328 Passes 264
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ahal vs Al Hussein
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hussein cruised past Ahal 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hussein as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ahal had 54% of the ball to Al Hussein's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.35 to 2.12.

What was the final score of Ahal vs Al Hussein?

Ahal 1-4 Al Hussein in the AFCŞL2 on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahal vs Al Hussein?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hussein win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ahal 32%, draw 27%, Al Hussein 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hussein), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hussein) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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