Lisen 1-3 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
37%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.64
6+ Goals
7%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.9pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
36%
Away Win
53%
-16.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lisen EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lisen
1-3
AWAY Teplice
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lisen vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teplice beat Lisen 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Teplice found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lisen had 44% of the ball to Teplice's 56%, shots finished 7-18.

What was the final score of Lisen vs Teplice?

Lisen 1-3 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lisen vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lisen 31%, draw 32%, Teplice 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teplice) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Teplice) ✗ Under 2.5
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