Thai Port FC 1-3 Lion City Sailors FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.3pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
1-3
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Lion City Sailors FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lion City Sailors FC beat Thai Port FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Thai Port FC carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 71% of the ball to Lion City Sailors FC's 29%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Lion City Sailors FC?

Thai Port FC 1-3 Lion City Sailors FC in the AFCŞL2 on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Lion City Sailors FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 59%, draw 18%, Lion City Sailors FC 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thai Port FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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