FC Bocholt 2-4 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 54%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.57/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.75
+23% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bocholt
0W-0D-1L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
07.07.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 1-3 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg HAZ
POST-MATCH FC Bocholt vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg got the better of FC Bocholt 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of FC Bocholt vs MSV Duisburg?

FC Bocholt 2-4 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - Regional League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bocholt vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Bocholt 28%, draw 26%, MSV Duisburg 46%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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