30/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Energetik Mingechaur vs Zaqatala Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
23%
Draw
28%
43%
Away Win
50%
51%
Under 2.5
44%
49%
Over 2.5
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Energetik Mingechaur v Zaqatala — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Energetik Mingechaur
EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zaqatala
EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
12
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
7
271 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
510 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Energetik Mingechaur vs Zaqatala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Energetik Mingechaur edged past Zaqatala 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Zaqatala at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Energetik Mingechaur vs Zaqatala?
Energetik Mingechaur 1-0 Zaqatala in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Energetik Mingechaur vs Zaqatala?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zaqatala win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Energetik Mingechaur 34%, draw 23%, Zaqatala 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zaqatala) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Zaqatala)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
AZERK
More Azerbaijan - Cup
30 Oct 2024