Esbjerg 0-2 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 30 Oct 2024

Esbjerg
0-2 HT 0-1
Aalborg
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Denmark - DBU Cup – 2024/2025

Esbjerg vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.41
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 54%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.80/3.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.59/0.79
-36% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / +52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Esbjerg vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aalborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.72 xG 2.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
296 Passes 391
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2020 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-1 HT 2-0 Aalborg Aalborg HAZ
31.05.2020 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
11.08.2019 Aalborg Aalborg 4-0 HT 4-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN
30.11.2018 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-4 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
27.08.2018 Aalborg Aalborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN
04.11.2016 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-0 HT 2-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN

Esbjerg 0-2 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
0-2
AWAY Aalborg
1.39 xG 2.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
418 Passes 259
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg got the better of Esbjerg 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aalborg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Esbjerg had 60% of the ball to Aalborg's 40%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.39 to 2.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Esbjerg and 1.67 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Aalborg?

Esbjerg 0-2 Aalborg in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 28%, draw 24%, Aalborg 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAK More Denmark - DBU Cup
30 Oct 2024
22:00 SonderjyskE vs Kopenhag Analysis →