Haka 1-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 26% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.96
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
11%
7.55
X/2
14%
4.91
X/X
10%
5.1
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
26%
2.7
2/X
7%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.28/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.77
+13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 84%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.0 Crosses 20.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-0D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 Passes 398
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Haka Haka 0-3 HT 0-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
29.06.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-1 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
11.05.2024 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
08.02.2024 Haka Haka 1-2 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
03.09.2023 Haka Haka 1-0 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
05.04.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-1 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
1-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.60 xG 1.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
281 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haka vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki nicked a narrow win over Haka 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Haka had 49% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 51%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.60 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haka and 1.50 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of Haka vs SJK Seinajoki?

Haka 1-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Haka 31%, draw 24%, SJK Seinajoki 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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