Haras El Hodood 1-3 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.33
Over 2.5
37%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.78
2-3 Goals
46%
1.94
4-5 Goals
12%
8.35
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
24%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.4pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
72%
-8.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
28%
+8.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.01/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.92
+18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
14.5 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Smouha
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.72 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
199 Passes 289
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 3-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
01.11.2022 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
28.09.2020 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
12.01.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
10.12.2015 Smouha Smouha 2-2 HT 1-1 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
1-3
AWAY Smouha
1.21 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
225 Passes 292
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha beat Haras El Hodood 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Smouha as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 46% of the ball to Smouha's 54%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.21 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Smouha led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Haras El Hodood and 1.40 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs Smouha?

Haras El Hodood 1-3 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 26%, draw 28%, Smouha 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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