Alba Iulia 1-0 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alba Iulia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +107%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alba Iulia
1-0
AWAY Sepsi
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alba Iulia vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alba Iulia squeezed past Sepsi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sepsi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alba Iulia had 47% of the ball to Sepsi's 53%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Alba Iulia vs Sepsi?

Alba Iulia 1-0 Sepsi in the Romania - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alba Iulia vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alba Iulia 29%, draw 25%, Sepsi 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sepsi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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