Al Jabalain vs Al Ettifaq Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Jabalain v Al Ettifaq — Team-Based Signals
Al Jabalain 3-1 Al Ettifaq — Actual Match Statistics
Al Jabalain saw off Al Ettifaq 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ettifaq at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Jabalain had 34% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 66%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.84 to 1.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Ettifaq.
What was the final score of Al Jabalain vs Al Ettifaq?
Al Jabalain 3-1 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Jabalain vs Al Ettifaq?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Jabalain 28%, draw 21%, Al Ettifaq 51%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.