OFK Vrsac 1-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.95
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
56%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+12.7pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
56%
Away Win
73%
-17.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Vrsac EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 78%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.00
+150% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -59%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH OFK Vrsac vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Vrsac and Backa Topola shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Backa Topola at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of OFK Vrsac vs Backa Topola?

OFK Vrsac 1-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Vrsac vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split OFK Vrsac 22%, draw 21%, Backa Topola 56%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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