Spartak Trnava 3-2 KFC Komarno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-10.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY KFC Komarno EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.63/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.64
-20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
23.6 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KFC Komarno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2023 KFC Komarno KFC Komarno 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
3-2
AWAY KFC Komarno
2.97 xG 2.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
27 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
350 Passes 219
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs KFC Komarno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava nicked a narrow win over KFC Komarno 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 58% of the ball to KFC Komarno's 42%, shots finished 27-20, expected goals 2.97 to 2.29.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs KFC Komarno?

Spartak Trnava 3-2 KFC Komarno in the Slovakia Super League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs KFC Komarno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 57%, draw 22%, KFC Komarno 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVK More Slovakia Super League
30 Oct 2024
18:00 Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava Analysis →