Leixoes U23 0-1 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 2-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
07.11.2023 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 3-2 HT 2-2 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
0-1
AWAY Vizela U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 squeezed past Leixoes U23 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vizela U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 51% of the ball to Vizela U23's 49%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vizela U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leixoes U23 and 2.50 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Vizela U23?

Leixoes U23 0-1 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 30%, draw 26%, Vizela U23 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
30 Oct 2024
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