Nacional 4-0 Plaza Colonia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 30 Oct 2024

Nacional
4-0
Plaza Colonia
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Uruguay Cup – 2025

Nacional vs Plaza Colonia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.61
Over Pick
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
43%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
78%
-33.3pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.9pp
33%
Away Win
7%
+26.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.5pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional v Plaza Colonia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional The Market 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Plaza Colonia The Market 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+17% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Nacional 4-0 Plaza Colonia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional
4-0
AWAY Plaza Colonia
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
17 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional vs Plaza Colonia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional ran out comfortable winners over Plaza Colonia 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional had 67% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 33%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Nacional vs Plaza Colonia?

Nacional 4-0 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional vs Plaza Colonia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nacional 44%, draw 23%, Plaza Colonia 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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