Carlisle United vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carlisle United v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals
Carlisle United vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Carlisle United
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
4-1
HT 4-0
Carlisle United
İN2
2-4
HT 0-2
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
2-1
HT 1-1
Carlisle United
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Carlisle United
FAK
Carlisle United 1-1 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics
Carlisle United and Crewe Alexandra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Carlisle United had 49% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 51%, shots finished 6-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carlisle United and 1.67 for Crewe Alexandra.
What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Crewe Alexandra?
Carlisle United 1-1 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Crewe Alexandra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 39%, draw 25%, Crewe Alexandra 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carlisle United), BTTS No went the other way.