Bologna 3-0 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.65
X/1
15%
4.49
X/2
6%
9.33
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
13%
7.72
2/X
10%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.62/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.65
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.4 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Venezia
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.00 xG 1.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 2
474 Passes 245
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2022 Venezia Venezia 4-3 HT 2-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
21.11.2021 Bologna Bologna 0-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
03.02.2002 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
23.09.2001 Venezia Venezia 0-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
3-0
AWAY Venezia
3.22 xG 0.44
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 0
423 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna cruised past Venezia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bologna had 61% of the ball to Venezia's 39%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 3.22 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Venezia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bologna and 1.50 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Venezia?

Bologna 3-0 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bologna 47%, draw 28%, Venezia 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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