Estudiantes 1-2 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.54
Over
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.0
No
59%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.43
2-3
37%
1.8
4-5
17%
5.06
6+
8%
30.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.43 — our 38% vs market 35.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.26
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
16%
6.61
X/2
15%
4.79
X/X
17%
3.65
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.31
2/X
6%
13.45
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate The Market 45%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.14/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.15
-2% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.4 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY River Plate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.89 xG 1.83
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
199 Passes 445
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJSK
16.07.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 3-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
06.10.2022 River Plate River Plate 5-0 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
01.11.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
15.02.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
24.02.2020 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-2 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-2
AWAY River Plate
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
336 Passes 240
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
REVIEW Estudiantes vs River Plate
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

River Plate edged past Estudiantes 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day River Plate made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Estudiantes had 57% of the ball to River Plate's 43%, shots finished 25-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estudiantes and 2.33 for River Plate.

Estudiantes vs River Plate Result & Final Score

Estudiantes 1-2 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Estudiantes vs River Plate Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 38%, draw 30%, River Plate 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
30 Nov 2024
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