FC Liefering 1-3 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

FC Liefering
1-3 HT 0-1
Amstetten
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

FC Liefering vs Amstetten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.63 — our 26% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.77
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
22%
4.92
X/2
10%
7.17
X/X
12%
5.59
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
13%
4.67
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Liefering v Amstetten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
1.74/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/3.13
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 66%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.8 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

FC Liefering vs Amstetten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Amstetten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.45 xG 1.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
314 Passes 183
73% Pass Accuracy 60%
37 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-2 HT 0-2 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
05.03.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-0 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
19.08.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
05.03.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
13.08.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-1 HT 0-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
17.04.2021 Amstetten Amstetten 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten got the better of FC Liefering 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Liefering at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Liefering had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Liefering and 1.00 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Amstetten?

FC Liefering 1-3 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 47%, draw 25%, Amstetten 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Liefering), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
30 Nov 2024
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