Posusje 1-2 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.3pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posusje EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.84/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.51
-16% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
433 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posusje
2W-2D-0L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.08.2024 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-1 HT 0-1 Posusje Posusje BOSN
30.03.2024 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-1 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
09.03.2024 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 1-1 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
21.10.2023 Posusje Posusje 0-0 HT 0-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Posusje
1-2
AWAY GOSK Gabela
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Posusje vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GOSK Gabela edged past Posusje 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Posusje at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Posusje had 72% of the ball to GOSK Gabela's 28%, shots finished 23-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Posusje had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Posusje and 0.25 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of Posusje vs GOSK Gabela?

Posusje 1-2 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posusje vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Posusje win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Posusje 60%, draw 20%, GOSK Gabela 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Posusje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Posusje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
30 Nov 2024
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