Mekelle Kenema 1-1 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-5.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.8pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 57%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.00
+20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelle Kenema
1-1
AWAY Bahardar
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema and Bahardar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bahardar at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Mekelle Kenema had 40% of the ball to Bahardar's 60%, shots finished 3-11.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Bahardar?

Mekelle Kenema 1-1 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 21%, draw 31%, Bahardar 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bahardar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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