Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 JEF United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.9pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.25/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.51
-76% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY JEF United (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
09.03.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0-1
AWAY JEF United (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs JEF United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) squeezed past Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JEF United (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 62% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 38%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Omiya Ardija (K) and 0.50 for JEF United (K).

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 27%, draw 28%, JEF United (K) 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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