TransMara Sugar 0-2 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
43%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.51
No
51%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.2pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.4pp
43%
Away Win
62%
-18.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
36%
+13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
64%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -26%
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
223 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransMara Sugar
0-2
AWAY Gor Mahia
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia saw off TransMara Sugar 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, TransMara Sugar had 40% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 60%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Gor Mahia?

TransMara Sugar 0-2 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 24%, draw 33%, Gor Mahia 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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