Budapest Honved 1-0 Budapest Vasas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
0.99/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.41
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Honved
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Budapest Vasas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2024 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 0-3 HT 0-3 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
06.11.2023 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 3-0 HT 0-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
09.04.2023 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 0-1 HT 0-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
07.02.2023 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-0 HT 1-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MACK
10.11.2022 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 2-0 HT 0-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC
21.08.2022 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 1-2 HT 1-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Honved
1-0
AWAY Budapest Vasas
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Budapest Honved vs Budapest Vasas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Honved nicked a narrow win over Budapest Vasas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Budapest Vasas at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Budapest Honved had 43% of the ball to Budapest Vasas's 57%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Budapest Honved and 1.50 for Budapest Vasas.

What was the final score of Budapest Honved vs Budapest Vasas?

Budapest Honved 1-0 Budapest Vasas in the Hungary - NB II on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Honved vs Budapest Vasas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Budapest Honved 30%, draw 24%, Budapest Vasas 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Budapest Vasas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →