Sakandary 0-1 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.05
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakandary EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.49/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.03
+40% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.9 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakandary
2W-3D-1L
AWAY El Geish
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 246
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
14.02.2024 Sakandary Sakandary 2-2 HT 2-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
27.02.2023 El Geish El Geish 3-4 HT 1-3 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
31.10.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 3-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
31.07.2022 El Geish El Geish 2-1 HT 2-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
28.02.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 1-1 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakandary
0-1
AWAY El Geish
0.30 xG 0.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
296 Passes 199
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
7 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakandary vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish edged past Sakandary 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sakandary at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sakandary had 58% of the ball to El Geish's 42%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.30 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakandary had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sakandary and 1.50 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Sakandary vs El Geish?

Sakandary 0-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakandary vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakandary win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sakandary 41%, draw 27%, El Geish 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sakandary) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sakandary) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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