Niğde Belediyesi Spor 2-1 Sebat Gençlik SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niğde Belediyesi Spor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Sebat Gençlik SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niğde Belediyesi Spor squeezed past Sebat Gençlik SK 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sebat Gençlik SK at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Niğde Belediyesi Spor 2-1 Sebat Gençlik SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sebat Gençlik SK win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Niğde Belediyesi Spor 21%, draw 21%, Sebat Gençlik SK 58%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sebat Gençlik SK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sebat Gençlik SK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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