Al Ettifaq 0-4 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
0.91/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.22
-17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
16.6 Crosses 19.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.24 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 379
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-5 HT 0-4 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
16.02.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
03.09.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
23.06.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
26.12.2021 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-2 HT 0-2 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
0-4
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.14 xG 2.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
389 Passes 539
87% Pass Accuracy 91%
22 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah ran out comfortable winners over Al Ettifaq 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 43% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 57%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.14 to 2.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.67 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Ettifaq 0-4 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 28%, draw 26%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 46%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5
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