GMG Kastamonuspor 2-2 24Erzincanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.67
Over 2.5
32%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
56%
+12.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
44%
-12.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.4pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.01
-44% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +78%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
7 Corners 4
03.09.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 HT 1-0 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor S2-K
30.10.2019 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 HT 0-0 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor TÜK
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs 24Erzincanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor and 24Erzincanspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was GMG Kastamonuspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, GMG Kastamonuspor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 0.50 for 24Erzincanspor.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs 24Erzincanspor?

GMG Kastamonuspor 2-2 24Erzincanspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs 24Erzincanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 44%, draw 30%, 24Erzincanspor 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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