AS Marsa 2-2 Megrine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
32%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.5pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Megrine EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Marsa
2-2
AWAY Megrine
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AS Marsa vs Megrine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa and Megrine shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

This one beat our numbers. AS Marsa carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Marsa had 53% of the ball to Megrine's 47%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of AS Marsa vs Megrine?

AS Marsa 2-2 Megrine in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs Megrine?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 57%, draw 28%, Megrine 15%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AS Marsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
30 Nov 2024
00:00 Chebba vs Kasserine Analysis →
16:00 Hammam-Lif vs Kalaa Sport Analysis →