KRC Genk II vs Olympic Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KRC Genk II v Olympic Charleroi — Team-Based Signals
KRC Genk II 3-4 Olympic Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics
Olympic Charleroi nicked a narrow win over KRC Genk II 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was KRC Genk II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, KRC Genk II had 51% of the ball to Olympic Charleroi's 49%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 1.89 to 3.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympic Charleroi's control.
What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Olympic Charleroi?
KRC Genk II 3-4 Olympic Charleroi in the Belgium - 1st Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Olympic Charleroi?
Before kick-off our model rated a KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 45%, draw 19%, Olympic Charleroi 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KRC Genk II) went the other way.