Nairobi United 0-1 Maniema Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.96
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Maniema Union EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nairobi United
0-1
AWAY Maniema Union
0.26 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
216 Passes 204
64% Pass Accuracy 63%
11 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nairobi United vs Maniema Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maniema Union edged past Nairobi United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nairobi United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nairobi United had 55% of the ball to Maniema Union's 45%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.26 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Nairobi United vs Maniema Union?

Nairobi United 0-1 Maniema Union in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi United vs Maniema Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nairobi United 42%, draw 26%, Maniema Union 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nairobi United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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