Zimbru 4-2 Politeh Chişinau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
3.46
Over 2.5
72%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.9
No
34%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
25%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
65%
-1.6pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.1pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.8pp
28%
Under 2.5
25%
+2.1pp
72%
Over 2.5
75%
-2.1pp
66%
BTTS Yes
49%
+16.8pp
34%
BTTS No
51%
-16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Politeh Chişinau EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Politeh Chişinau
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Politeh Chişinau 2-3 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
03.08.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 7-0 HT 1-0 Politeh Chişinau MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
4-2
AWAY Politeh Chişinau
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Politeh Chişinau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru saw off Politeh Chişinau 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Zimbru had 62% of the ball to Politeh Chişinau's 38%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zimbru had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Zimbru and 1.00 for Politeh Chişinau.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Politeh Chişinau?

Zimbru 4-2 Politeh Chişinau in the Moldova - National League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Politeh Chişinau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 64%, draw 17%, Politeh Chişinau 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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