Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torpedo Moscow edged past Spartak Kostroma 1-0 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 30 Nov 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 40%.
On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 52% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 48%, shots finished 10-11.
What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Torpedo Moscow?
Spartak Kostroma 0-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Torpedo Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 38%, draw 34%, Torpedo Moscow 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) went the other way.