Sivasspor 1-0 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
12%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.11
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
11%
5.05
X/2
11%
6.68
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.79
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
0.54/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.31
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.0 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Boluspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
22.01.2017 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
21.08.2016 Boluspor Boluspor 4-1 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-0
AWAY Boluspor
1.80 xG 0.82
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
231 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor squeezed past Boluspor 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 39% of the ball to Boluspor's 61%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.80 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sivasspor and 2.50 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Boluspor?

Sivasspor 1-0 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 46%, draw 26%, Boluspor 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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