AS Ariana 3-2 Bouchamma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bouchamma EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.07/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
3-2
AWAY Bouchamma
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Bouchamma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana squeezed past Bouchamma 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AS Ariana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Ariana had 49% of the ball to Bouchamma's 51%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Bouchamma?

AS Ariana 3-2 Bouchamma in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Bouchamma?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 48%, draw 25%, Bouchamma 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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