Baghdad 2-1 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-13.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baghdad EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 59%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.50
+3% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +106%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Baghdad vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baghdad squeezed past Al Shorta 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shorta at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baghdad vs Al Shorta?

Baghdad 2-1 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baghdad vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baghdad 28%, draw 30%, Al Shorta 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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