Wycombe Wanderers 4-1 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
7%
3.92
X/2
8%
11.1
X/X
11%
6.3
2/1
11%
20.35
2/2
14%
7.91
2/X
6%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.61/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.26
-23% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
26.8 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
4-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
2.14 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
254 Passes 392
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wycombe Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 43% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Alb. U21's 57%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.14 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Wycombe Wanderers 4-1 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 48%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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