Lugano 0-0 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.31
X/2
18%
8.25
X/X
16%
5.21
2/1
6%
22.15
2/2
8%
5.9
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.59/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.62
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.5 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 0.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
424 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
29.04.2023 Lugano Lugano 5-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
02.04.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
28.01.2023 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
24.07.2022 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
30.04.2022 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
0-0
AWAY Grasshoppers
0.18 xG 0.16
69% Ball Possession 31%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
567 Passes 206
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano and Grasshoppers fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lugano had 69% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 31%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 0.18 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grasshoppers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lugano and 1.50 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Grasshoppers?

Lugano 0-0 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lugano 41%, draw 27%, Grasshoppers 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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